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Did the drop rate of these change? I haven't gotten one in three weeks and I've done 3xToC10, 3xToC25, 3xICC10, 3xICC25 (in some raids, all bosses were not killed) and probably won like 20 BGs as well. Getting kinda ridiculous.
I used to reliably get one almost every week, 1.5 weeks tops.
It's purely based on RNG.
Sometimes you're just unlucky with it.
I have gotten about 250-300 scrolls now in total and fully transmogged 13 character in which I changed 5 of them compleately after a while and about 5 of them have a different transmog for offspecc, needless to say I'm a huge fan of transmogs and create new character just to transmog them differently. From personal experience I would guess each wotlk raid boss have about 2-3% chanse of dropping a scroll when you kill them, I lead a lot of Naxxramas 25 and 10man raids when I need to farm some scrolls (I do all raids but this is the first one I prioritize) because you have more bosses then any other raid in wotlk, 15 of them, and they are easy since naxx was one the first raid in the first patch of the expansion so people used to do it with 2,5-3k gs. If you do both 10 and 25man naxx you have 30 Bosses downed, Ulduar is 2nd on most bosses but also very unforgiving so I usually dont make "scroll runs" for it, regardless toc is only 5 bosses, voa 1 or 2, OS 1, Onyxia 1, EoE 1. ICC has 12 which is nice but even the most "serious" pug runs that want everyone to have kingslayer and 6,2K Gs fails before even half raid is done so you rarely end up with all 12. I personally have had most luck getting scrolls in naxx and if you steamroll through it, it will go pretty fast. I have not noticed any change in dropchanses recently myself but sometimes you do end up without even 1 scroll after a week (or even 2-3 weeks, worst for me was 4 weeks) of killing 70-80 raid bosses. Most luck I ever had was 5 scrolls in 1 week.
So like Ohie said its purely based of luck, WoW loves it's rng systems.