It's Just the Population Trend [No Hidden Conditionals]
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Obnoxious
So your "prophecy" is valid only "long term" and at chosen times? Why do it now, why not wait for late night, at the bottom of the population? That would really increase your credibility so much more. Are there some other hidden conditionals for the "prophecy"? Maybe we should just stick to "isolated moments when it fits" for simplicity's sake?
It seems the population trends of the realms really favor these numbers. No hidden conditionals.
Bare in mind that the 30-35% from the Lordaeron's prophecy™ is just a ballpark (i.e., very rough) estimate. Nonetheless, I could support further this estimation with a broader example taking today's population fluctuations [available in the Information tab] into account:
- 36.25% of WoTLK Min. Population: Lord. 1.45k + Ice. 3.85k + Black. 0.15k = Lord. 1.45k + Others 4k
- 36.4% of WoTLK Max Population: Lord. 5.5k + Ice. 14.3k (12k + 2.3k) + Black 0.8k = Lord. 5.5k + Others 15.1k
- 36.3% of WoTLK Population in Average
Considering this and the previous examples as well the fact that the population of Lordaeron has been in consistent decline for months [reason why threads like the present one pop-up], I would not be surprised to have 30-35%, as estimated by the Lordaeron's prophecy™, any time soon. In the meantime, IMHO, 30-35% and 36.3% are close enough to consider the original ballpark estimation quite accurate. Would you not agree?
It could be quite interesting to see how this daily fluctuations in the population change weekly or even monthly during an entire year. Would you post a graph with such data to enrich this thread?
In any case, like I mentioned before, even 30-35% of the total WoTLK population of Warmane is not a low number for a private server's realm, and has its positive side effects as well, so no need to panic. Best wishes!